This match is part of the Tercera División RFEF Group 16. This prediction is provided by the Resultados Futbol Hoy platform, your go-to source for resultados del futbol hoy and in-depth analysis. Kickoff times: US (EDT) 2026-04-01 14:00, Argentina (ART) 2026-04-01 15:00, Chile (CLT) 2026-04-01 15:00, Germany (CEST) 2026-04-01 20:00, France (CEST) 2026-04-01 20:00, Spain (CEST) 2026-04-01 20:00, Mexico (CST) 2026-04-01 13:00. Catch the live soccer scores as Agoncillo hosts Peña Balsamaiso at Estadio San Roque.
Agoncillo holds a clear edge to secure a home win against Peña Balsamaiso in this Tercera División RFEF Group 16 clash at Estadio San Roque. Their dominant head-to-head record—8 wins in 12 meetings—combined with a 7th-place standing versus Peña’s 18th, underscores their advantage, bolstered by recent home resilience. For betting value, the home win stands out, as markets undervalue Agoncillo’s motivation to climb amid Peña’s draw-heavy struggles. This prediction builds on a detailed analysis of form, tactics, and key factors, explored further below. Explore more insights in our football predictions.
Expected Starting Lineup and Reasons
With no confirmed lineups yet, predictions draw from the last 5 matches, anticipating Agoncillo’s solid 4-2-3-1 to control midfield at home, while Peña employs a 4-3-3 to chase draws on the counter. These choices align with recent performances and set the stage for the tactical duel ahead.
| Team | Formation | Starting 11 | Main Reasons |
|---|---|---|---|
| Agoncillo | 4-2-3-1 | GK: Gali; Def: A. Arriaga, David Pérez, Álvaro Pascual, J. Arza; Mid: Iván Munilla, Alejandro Sodupe; Att Mid: Álex Martínez, Ricardo Osés (versatile), Diego Pozo; FW: Andrés Peso | Reasons: No major injuries reported; Gali anchored clean sheets in last two (0-0 Berceo, 0-2 Autol win); midfield duo Munilla-Sodupe from recent starters vs Oyonesa/Pradejon for possession control; Alvarez out suspended (10 yellows)—Pascual steps in at CB. Reference Transfermarkt squad details. |
| Peña Balsamaiso | 4-3-3 | GK: H. Delgado; Def: E. Santos, Carlos Moratalla, Txomin Larrainzar; Mid: Iván Munilla, M. Zannouti, Andoni Recarte; FW: Nesta Martinez, Jens Hugo, Angel Nalda | Reasons: E. Santos (9 yellows) at risk but likely starts per recent vs Villegas/Comillas draws; front three from heavy loss to Arnedo (1-5) but adjusted for counters; no injuries; Munilla key in midfield rotation last 3 games for resilience. |
Agoncillo vs Peña Balsamaiso – Análisis / Analysis
Recent Form + Tactical Duel
Agoncillo’s recent form shows a mixed bag over their last 5 matches: W 2-0 @Autol, D 0-0 vs Berceo, L 2-5 @Logrones B, L 1-2 vs Oyonesa, W 1-0 @Pradejon—with two clean sheets signaling defensive solidity at home through midfield presses and possession control. Check recent results via Flashscore. In contrast, Peña’s last 5 read: D 1-1 vs Villegas, L 0-2 @Calahorra, D 0-0 vs Comillas, D 2-2 @Vianes, L 1-5 vs Arnedo—marking them as draw specialists (4/5 unbeaten but winless), reliant on counters and long balls yet leaky defensively (10 conceded in 3 losses). This matchup positions Agoncillo to dominate possession against Peña’s low-block, likely forcing errors for a controlled home advantage.
Injuries, Head-to-Head and Background Motivation
No major injuries plague either side, though Agoncillo’s Miguel Alvarez faces suspension (10 yellows), leading to Pascual’s inclusion and linking to their adaptive midfield seen recently against Berceo. Peña’s E. Santos (9 yellows) treads carefully but has featured lately. Head-to-head history strongly favors Agoncillo with 8 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses against Peña—including a 2-1 away win this season—amplifying home confidence in their 7th vs. 18th standings battle for playoffs versus survival, per Sofascore match data. Estadio San Roque’s intimate atmosphere adds visitor pressure, complementing Agoncillo’s lineup for home dominance. See pre-match info on BeSoccer.
Betting Value Recommendations
Building on these strengths, the home win emerges as strong value, given Agoncillo’s H2H dominance and superior position against Peña’s poor away form. Under 2.5 goals also carries appeal, aligning with low-scoring trends (Agoncillo 2/5 under, Peña 3/5 draws low). The Asian handicap home -0.5 edges in as markets overlook home motivation, while draw no bet on Agoncillo counters Peña’s stalemate tendency with their clear superiority.
Risks and Upset Scenarios
Despite the favoritism, risks persist: Peña’s draw machine (4/5 recent) could stall play into a 0-0 second half, echoing Agoncillo’s wasteful attacks versus Berceo. Mild April weather (15-19C, fair) suits open play, but the venue’s pitch may favor Peña’s long balls if rain materializes. Agoncillo’s suspension gap raises concerns for exposed flanks, as Logrones B capitalized previously, potentially enabling a Peña counter upset if their Arnedo-like collapse is averted.
Overall Prediction
After thoroughly analyzing recent form, tactical duel, injuries, venue factors, motivation, and the latest data, Agoncillo emerges with the highest probability of success. Based on both teams’ current form and match context, the game most likely favors Agoncillo—probably via a narrow victory, hard-fought draw, or controlled low-scoring result. A heavy defeat or dramatic upset remains possible but far less probable, with extra time or penalties unlikely.
This radar chart visualizes team strengths in attack, defense, possession, form, and head-to-head.
This bar chart highlights expected goals trends for home and away performances.
Confidence level: medium—key uncertainties include Alvarez’s suspension impact, Peña’s draw resilience, and referee decisions.
Important Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute any betting advice or involve any form of gambling. Please gamble responsibly or not at all.
In summary, Agoncillo’s superior head-to-head record, home form, and tactical setup position them for a narrow victory over Peña Balsamaiso in this Tercera División RFEF Group 16 encounter. While Peña’s draw-heavy streak poses a risk, Agoncillo’s motivation and defensive resilience should prevail. What is your predicted score for this match? Share it in the comments below—I’d love to hear your thoughts and consider them next time!